Alpha Natural Resources Inc. (NYSE: ANR): Fourth Quarter Earnings Preview 2009
By:NewsyStocks   Thursday, February 04, 2010 9:04 AM



(By Salman) Alpha Natural Resources Inc. (NYSE: ANR) is scheduled to release fiscal fourth-quarter 2009 earnings before the market open on Tuesday, February 9, 2010. Analysts, on average, expect the company to report earnings of 45 cents a share on revenue of $815.08 million. In the year ago quarter, the company reported earnings of 28 cents per share on revenue of $593.84 million. 

Alpha Natural Resources, Inc. operates as a coal producer primarily in the central Appalachian and northern Appalachian regions. It engages in underground room and pillar mining, and surface mining operations, with a focus on high bituminous, low sulfur steam coal and metallurgical coal reserves. The company produces, processes, and sells steam and metallurgical coal from 8 regional business units supported by 33 active underground mines, 24 active surface mines, and 11 preparation plants located throughout Virginia, West Virginia, Kentucky, and Pennsylvania. 

In the preceding second quarter, the Abingdon, Virgina-based company posted a loss compared with a profit last year, as higher expenses more than offset the boost in revenues for the period. Net loss totaled $19.5 million or $0.19 per share, compared with net income of $67.4 million or $0.93 per share, in the prior-year quarter. On an adjusted basis, income from continuing operations increased to $49.4 million from $48.5 million in the prior-year. However, a 32 million increase in share count pushed the per share adjusted net income down to $0.47 from $0.67 reported last year. Revenue rose to $729.2 million from $688.4 million last year. Analysts, on average, expected the company to earn $0.38 per share on revenue of $727.89 million.

In November, the coal producer lifted shipment citing "strengthening metallurgical coal fundamentals and recent customer activity." For full year 2010, Alpha Natural expects metallurgical coal shipment in the range of 9 to 11 million tons. Previously, the company expected shipment in the range of 10 to 12 million tons. Also, the company anticipates an increase in realizations for the produce, citing a favorable current market environment.

During the fourth quarter, cash prices for coal on the Big Sandy River, a benchmark for supplies in the Eastern U.S averaged $54.85 per ton, down 30 percent from the $78.65 a year ago. According to the latest data from the U.S. Energy Department, consumer coal stocks reached 207.1 million tons as of Sept. 30, due to the mild summer and lower industrial usage. The department estimates that demand for coal to generate electricity slumped 10 percent in 2009 and consumption for steel plummeted 30 percent.

The company is likely to benefit from global economic rebound and revival in industrial activity.

Among other events during the quarter, Emerald Coal Resources, LP, a unit of Alpha Natural Resources, Inc., announced that it had resumed production at the Emerald longwall mine near Waynesburg, Pennsylvania. The Emerald mine experienced a roof fall on November 18. 

The company's stock currently trades at a forward P/E (fye 31-Dec-10) of 13.14 and PEG Ratio (5 yr expected) of 1.64. In terms of stock performance, Alpha Natural shares have gained 163 percent over the past year. 

Disclosure: Author doesn't own any of the stocks discussed here.


 

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